SSP2-ML-UPTAKE Scenario · Disorderly world

Crossroads

A middle-of-the-road path balancing conventional and novel removals in a fragmented, uneven world.

The story

Crossroads is the disorderly-world pathway: progress is real but uneven, split between democracies and autocracies, with heterogeneous carbon-removal portfolios across regions. No single method dominates — the world hedges across land-based and engineered removals.

It maps to ScenarioMIP SSP2-ML (medium-low emissions), a middle course between Fast Lane's late techno-scale-up and Long Road's early, steady mitigation. Removal grows through the century without the sharp end-of-century spike Fast Lane needs.

Variant. The Athens deck maps Crossroads to two ScenarioMIP runs — SSP2-ML and a low-overshoot variant SSP2-VLHO. This explorer shows the primary SSP2-ML pathway; the VLHO variant reaches similar end-of-century removal via a deeper overshoot and is available in the full data.

Key numbers · World
CDR · 2050
CDR · 2100
net-zero CO₂
novel CDR · 2100

Values from the WITCH ssp2_ML run; net-zero is the year World Emissions|CO2 crosses zero.

Total carbon removal over time

Total CDR — Crossroads

Total Carbon Removal for World, 2005–2100 (Gt CO₂/yr).
Removal by method

CDR by method (stacked)

Land use (conventional) BECCS DACCS Enhanced weathering
Removal split into conventional land use and novel methods (BECCS, DACCS, enhanced weathering), World, Gt CO₂/yr. Temperature pathways are not shown — this WITCH dataset has no global-mean-temperature output NEEDS SOURCE.
Net CO₂ emissions

Net CO₂ emissions

Net Emissions|CO2 (solid) with the energy & industry and land (AFOLU) components (dotted), World, Gt CO₂/yr. Below zero means net removal.
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